Page 14 - CSA Speaker Bulletin May 2017 | CSA Celebrity Speakers
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EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW

Geopolitical risk is particularly        deliver. But when it comes to the impact    list in a Japanese literary competition. It
elevated. Rhetoric between the US        of AI on jobs I am concerned.               was written by…a computer.
and Russia is currently redolent of
the Cold War Era. But back then there    There is of course an optimistic scenario   A future in which machine replaces
was a code of behavior that was          before us - one in which advances in        man will of course deliver vast cost
adhered to. Today, absent such norms,    artificial intelligence lead to machine     savings for companies. But under this
how this tension will manifest is far    and man uniting to share tasks and          scenario who amongst us is safe from
from clear. More generally Putin’s       help each other. Man and machine            being replaced by a robot becomes a
agenda of destabilization and use of     working side by side on the production      real and pressing question. As does
non-conventional weapons such as         line; machine aiding man to be more         how unemployed man has money
cyber-attacks creates a new level of     productive, more efficient, faster…         to consume. And what unemployed
instability. And then of course there’s  smarter. A win-win scenario in which we     man will choose to do. Bored, angry,
the mounting tension between North       all benefit from technology’s advances.     poor and educated is a very worrying
Korea and the US, the increasing                                                     combination with significant societal
authoritarianism of Erdogan in Turkey,   Under this scenario man is freed from       and political implications.
the rise in a number of European         boring process driven tasks so that
countries of separatist movements,       he or she can create, innovate, think,      Q.So how to make smart
another looming Greek debt crisis and    engage. This is the future in which                       decisions in times as
the preponderance of lone wolf type      oncologists no longer have to spend                       unpredictable as these
terrorist attacks in Western cities.     hours interrogating scans or blood test     if you are a business leader?
                                         results as they have handed that over
With regards technology – this is        to Artificial Intelligence which can do it  In part this is about placing your bets
guaranteed to continue its disruptive    better and faster. - leaving them with      widely. What disruptive businesses
course. From augmented reality to        time to do new medical research and         can you take stakes in or partner with
artificial intelligence, from the power  counsel their patients. A future in which   so that you benefit from a wider range
of 5G to the “internet of us”, from      nurses no longer have to bathe or lift      of potential future revenue streams?
self-driving cars to delivery drones –   patients, freeing up their time to hold     How can you experiment effectively
if you thought the past decade was       patients’ hands and provide emotional       internally so that when the world
disruptive, you ain’t seen nothing       care.                                       changes you are ready to change
yet….I have served on the boards                                                     with it? How can you effectively hedge
of two businesses – Warner Music         But I fear that this is the romantic        so that downside risks are better
Group and RWE – that have been           view of the future. For whilst AI will      mitigated?
radically disrupted by technology and    serve man to some extent for sure,
understand all too well the strategies   to a considerable degree I believe          In part this is about building an
companies need to adopt in order to      we are heading towards a future in          organization fit for this new Age of
triumph at such times.                   which machine replaces man. I’m not         Radical Uncertainty – an organization
                                         just talking blue collar jobs, it’s clear   that is built to problem solve and
Q.Focusing a bit more                    that white collar jobs are also going       innovate. There is a host of research
              on technology how          to be in the firing line – bookkeepers,     that shows that teams characterized
              worried are you that       paralegals, insurance claim assessors,      by diversity – made up with people
advances in artificial intelligence      surveyors, even authors. We’re already      of different genders, ethnicity, ages,
will lead to significant numbers         seeing these kinds of jobs being taken      skills – outperform those that are
of job losses?                           by robots and AI. A large insurance         more homogenous when it comes
                                         company recently fired a team of loss       to innovation, decision-making and
To be clear I’m not a Luddite by any     assessors – computers could make            problem solving. If your management
means and am excited about the many      these assessments more accurately and       team is made up only of people who
gains that technological advances will   faster. The novel “The Day a Computer       look like you – you have a problem.
                                         Writes a Novel” recently made the short

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