Page 22 - CSA Speaker Bulletin May 2017 | CSA Celebrity Speakers
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FUTURE

    ROBOTS AND JOBS

           THE REAL STORY

For over 30 years Ray Hammond            employment and productivity because      And although self-driving vehicles
has been researching, writing and        they will be our co-workers, not our     are making headlines, the reality is
speaking about how future trends         replacements. They will also give the    that outside of inner cities they will
will affect society and business.        global economy a massive and much-       not be widely deployed on the open
He is Europe’s most experienced          needed boost.                            roads for at least a decade – the
and most widely published                                                         difficulty of mixing them safely with
futurologist.                            A.I. that sifts through thousands of     human-controlled vehicles is a major
                                         legal files to look for precedents, or   challenge. As a result, the jobs of
There’s a lot of gloom about             which compares dozens of versions        most professional human drivers are
         on the subject of robots and    of lengthy contracts, frees lawyers      secure until at least 2030.
         artificial intelligence taking  and paralegals to spend more time on
human jobs. Several reports from         decision making, writing, negotiating    For all of the gushing press reports
eminent universities have suggested      and litigating. Today’s “intelligent”    about “deep learning” and “neural
that intelligent machines will           machines are nowhere near being able     networks” today’s A.I. and robots
eventually render a huge percentage      to undertake these very human, high-     actually have less general intelligence
of our species redundant. One day        value tasks.                             capability than a rodent.
perhaps.                                                                          Being better than humans at single
                                         A.I. systems that can examine            tasks such as scanning documents
But for the next ten years or so robots  thousands of body scans to look for      or repeatedly making a perfect weld,
and A.I. are likely to increase human    signs of cancer and other diseases       gives humans the opportunity to do
                                         free up pathologists and doctors         what we’re best at – multi-tasking,
                                         to research new disease detection        thinking, evaluating and creating.
                                         methods and to deal with patients.
                                         A.I. can also suggest diagnoses to       Between now and 2030 we should
                                         doctors giving them the time to treat    think of the growing army of robots
                                         more patients.                           and A.I. systems as our helpful
                                                                                  apprentices. They are going to help
                                         Co-operative robots (cobots) that        us increase our productivity whilst
                                         work with humans in manufacturing        improving the quality of our output.
                                         are just starting to undertake
                                         heavy, monotonous, fiddly and            Beyond 2030 it is unclear whether
                                         dangerous jobs and so free up            a large percentage of humans will
                                         skilled humans to undertake those        become unemployed, or whether
                                         tasks that require advanced human        we will create new human-centric
                                         cognition - supervision, materials       services to provide to each other. The
                                         evaluation, quality control and project  one thing humans are uniquely good
                                         organisation.                            at is adapting. n

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