Page 22 - CSA Speaker Bulletin May 2017 | CSA Celebrity Speakers
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FUTURE
ROBOTS AND JOBS
THE REAL STORY
For over 30 years Ray Hammond employment and productivity because And although self-driving vehicles
has been researching, writing and they will be our co-workers, not our are making headlines, the reality is
speaking about how future trends replacements. They will also give the that outside of inner cities they will
will affect society and business. global economy a massive and much- not be widely deployed on the open
He is Europe’s most experienced needed boost. roads for at least a decade – the
and most widely published difficulty of mixing them safely with
futurologist. A.I. that sifts through thousands of human-controlled vehicles is a major
legal files to look for precedents, or challenge. As a result, the jobs of
There’s a lot of gloom about which compares dozens of versions most professional human drivers are
on the subject of robots and of lengthy contracts, frees lawyers secure until at least 2030.
artificial intelligence taking and paralegals to spend more time on
human jobs. Several reports from decision making, writing, negotiating For all of the gushing press reports
eminent universities have suggested and litigating. Today’s “intelligent” about “deep learning” and “neural
that intelligent machines will machines are nowhere near being able networks” today’s A.I. and robots
eventually render a huge percentage to undertake these very human, high- actually have less general intelligence
of our species redundant. One day value tasks. capability than a rodent.
perhaps. Being better than humans at single
A.I. systems that can examine tasks such as scanning documents
But for the next ten years or so robots thousands of body scans to look for or repeatedly making a perfect weld,
and A.I. are likely to increase human signs of cancer and other diseases gives humans the opportunity to do
free up pathologists and doctors what we’re best at – multi-tasking,
to research new disease detection thinking, evaluating and creating.
methods and to deal with patients.
A.I. can also suggest diagnoses to Between now and 2030 we should
doctors giving them the time to treat think of the growing army of robots
more patients. and A.I. systems as our helpful
apprentices. They are going to help
Co-operative robots (cobots) that us increase our productivity whilst
work with humans in manufacturing improving the quality of our output.
are just starting to undertake
heavy, monotonous, fiddly and Beyond 2030 it is unclear whether
dangerous jobs and so free up a large percentage of humans will
skilled humans to undertake those become unemployed, or whether
tasks that require advanced human we will create new human-centric
cognition - supervision, materials services to provide to each other. The
evaluation, quality control and project one thing humans are uniquely good
organisation. at is adapting. n
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